Speaking of agriculture commissioner, Rick Pate is doing a very good job in his first term and should have very little trouble being elected to a second term in 2022.
Secretary of State John Merrill is precluded from running for a third term. Merrill is the best retail politician in the state and has by far the best grassroots organization of any political figure. Merrill will probably join the fray of candidates vying for the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by Richard Shelby. If he has to drop back, he could move to either state treasurer or lieutenant governor.
The job of state auditor will be on the ballot. Jim Zeigler, the current state auditor, is thought of as somewhat of a maverick by Montgomery insiders. However, he is sly as a fox. Even though he knows the state auditor has no real role in policy issues, he grabs headlines with his grandstanding. He is limited from running for auditor again.
Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth is only 38 years old. The job of lieutenant governor has few duties other than to preside over the state senate. Most state senators think Ainsworth has been a quick study in learning the Senate Rules and they like him. There is no doubt that Ainsworth desires to run for governor of Alabama.
The biggest question of the upcoming 2022 momentous political year is whether Gov. Kay Ivey will run for reelection. One school of thought has her going to the house at 78. The other is will she run and can she win? My prognostication is she will run and if she does, polls indicate she will win overwhelmingly.